Extremity Reconstruction

Extremity Reconstruction

Dev Joshi, Analyst, Extremity Reconstruction Products and Markets

7235 Vicksburg Pike
Fort Wayne, IN 46804
 
260.469.4164
 
dev@pearldiverinc.com

1

Overview of Extremities

 

 2

Source: PearlDiver Patient Record Database January, 2004 - June, 2007

Extremities Market Share (2Q 2009)

3

Global Extremities Market

Total Extremities Global Market Forecast (2006-2012E)

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Numbers in Millions

Company's Extremity Global Market Forecast (2Q09-2012)

REVENUE Model

5

Numbers in Millions

 

Market Share

4

Source: Company's SEC Filings, PearlDiver Estimates and other press releases.

 

Shoulder US Market Share (2008 E)

6

Source: Press Releases & PearlDiver Estimates

Most Common Extremity Diagnoses

7

Source: PearlDiver Patient Record Database 2004 - 2007

Most Common Extremity Procedures

8

Source: PearlDiver Patient Record Database 2004 - 2007

Foot and Ankle Market Independent Survey

9

Source: Independent survey conducted with foot and ankle surgeons and members of "American College of Foot and Ankle Surgeons (ACFAS) and American Orthopedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS)."(#1 in Foot and Ankle Products)

Ankle Replacement vs. Ankle Fusion

10

Source: PearlDiver Patient Record Database January, 2004 - June, 2007

Tennis Elbow / Golfer's Elbow

23

Source: PearlDiver Patient Record Database January, 2004 - June, 2007

Shoulder Replacement U.S. Market Forecast (2004-2012)

24

Source: PearlDiver estimates, public sources and PearlDiver Patient Records Database (# of Procedures)

Rotator Cuff Repair U.S. Market (2004-2012)

25

Source: PearlDiver Patient Record Database, AAOS, and PearlDiver Estimates (# of Procedures)

Carpal Tunnel Surgical Release Forecast (2004-2012)

26

Source: PearlDiver Patient Record Database, AAOS, and PearlDiver Estimates (# of Procedures)

Procedural Volume Forecast

Upper Extremities

Procedure by Indications

2005

2006

2007

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

2012E

Upper Extremities

Carpal Bone Reconstruction

19,578

21,144

22,624

23,981

25,420

26,540

28,079

29,764

Carpal Tunnel Release

375,533

420,596

462,656

499,600

523,581

549,760

577,248

607,265

Epicondylitis Repair

37,158

39,415

41,726

44,149

46,409

48,785

52,493

56,692

Rotator Cuff Repair

370,324

385,137

400,543

415,071

429,183

445,492

464,203

485,092

Other Shoulder Repair

14,440

16,606

19,097

21,961

24,597

27,548

30,579

34,248

Total Shoulder Replacement

17,680

21,054

21,684

21,888

23,834

25,931

28,472

31,319

Partial Shoulder Replacement

18,564

19,513

18,904

19,456

21,401

23,541

25,848

28,381

Reverse Shoulder Replacement

2,652

4,622

10,008

15,200

19,067

22,118

26,320

31,584

Total

855,929

928,086

997,242

1,061,306

1,113,492

1,169,715

1,233,242

1,304,346

% Growth

8.43%

7.45%

6.42%

4.92%

5.05%

5.43%

5.77%

Lower Extremities

Procedure by Indications

2005

2006

2007

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

2012E

Lower Extremities

Ankle Fusion

13,120

14,169

15,303

16,374

17,488

18,852

20,398

22,132

Triple Arthrodesis

8,152

8,720

9,550

10,276

10,994

11,764

12,505

13,305

Subtalar Fusion

16,298

16,754

18,811

20,241

21,656

23,172

24,887

26,778

Midtarsal Fusion

14,269

16,008

17,410

18,733

20,043

21,446

23,033

24,830

Tarsometatarsal Fusion

9,112

11,071

11,586

12,466

13,338

14,272

15,271

16,386

MTP Fusion

19,218

20,014

20,816

22,398

23,964

25,641

27,436

29,466

Total Ankle Replacement*

6,720

7,190

7,621

8,079

8,563

9,162

9,895

10,766

Total

86,889

93,926

101,097

108,567

116,046

124,309

133,425

143,663

% Growth

8.10%

7.63%

7.39%

6.89%

7.12%

7.33%

7.67%

*Total Ankle replacement includes with or without implant as well as revision.

Arthroscopy Procedures

Procedure by Indications

2005

2006

2007

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

2012E

Arthroscopy

Shoulder

680,220

734,638

793,409

841,013

883,905

932,520

985,673

1,044,814

Elbow

15,815

17,555

19,310

21,434

23,535

25,888

28,607

31,753

Foot/ankle

76,630

84,293

92,722

100,140

107,350

115,401

124,403

134,604

Wrist/hand

105,670

116,237

127,861

138,090

147,894

158,838

171,069

184,754

Total

878,335

952,722

1,033,302

1,100,677

1,162,684

1,232,647

1,309,751

1,395,925

% Growth

8.47%

8.46%

6.52%

5.63%

6.02%

6.26%

6.58%

Toe Deformities Repair

Procedure by Indications

2005

2006

2007

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

2012E

Toe deformities repair

Bunion

120,860

126,903

133,248

139,911

145,087

150,746

157,077

164,303

Hammertoe

398,978

412,942

425,330

438,090

449,043

461,616

475,926

491,632

Hallux valgus

308,020

329,581

352,652

373,811

394,745

417,640

443,534

472,363

Total

827,858

869,427

911,231

951,812

988,875

1,030,001

1,076,536

1,128,297

% Growth

5.02%

4.81%

4.45%

3.89%

4.16%

4.52%

4.81%

 

Trauma Market

27

Source: PearlDiver Patient Record Database January, 2004 - June, 2007

Global Trauma Market (2004-2008)

Total Trauma Market

28

Source: Each Company's SEC Filings, and other press releases.

Number in Billions

Trauma Market Share (2008)

31

Source: Each Company's SEC Filings, and other press releases.

 

Fracture Market Procedural Data

Open Fracture Treatments

Procedure by Indications

2005

2006

2007

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

2012E

Fracture Treatments (Open)

Long Bones

607,514

622,702

635,156

643,095

646,311

656,006

667,486

682,504

Small Bones

144,516

166,668

179,940

192,536

205,761

218,443

231,407

244,911

Total

752,030

789,370

815,096

835,631

852,072

874,449

898,893

927,415

% Growth

4.97%

3.26%

2.52%

1.97%

2.63%

2.80%

3.17%

Closed Fracture Treatments

Procedure by Indications

2005

2006

2007

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

2012E

Fracture Treatments (Closed)

Long Bones

1,790,492

1,835,254

1,871,960

1,895,359

1,904,836

1,933,408

1,967,243

2,011,506

Small Bones

757,372

817,344

875,863

934,053

994,147

1,053,193

1,114,062

1,178,790

Total

2,547,864

2,652,598

2,747,823

2,829,412

2,898,983

2,986,601

3,081,305

3,190,296

% Growth

4.11%

3.59%

2.97%

2.46%

3.02%

3.17%

3.54%

Nonunion Fracture Treatments

Procedure by Indications

2005

2006

2007

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

2012E

Fracture Treatments (Nonunion)

Long Bones

19,477

19,964

20,363

20,618

20,721

21,032

21,400

21,881

Small Bones

13,578

14,630

15,763

16,975

18,229

19,542

20,852

22,250

Total

33,055

34,594

36,126

37,592

38,950

40,573

42,251

44,131

% Growth

4.66%

4.43%

4.06%

3.61%

4.17%

4.14%

4.45%